把 2000-03-10 泡沫顶 与 2026-06-22 高点 对齐到同一原点 t=0,归一化到峰值=100,逐日追踪当前走势相对 2000 年剧本的偏离。
两条曲线各自的峰值都被拉到 t=0、纵轴 100%。红线在蓝线之上=当前比 2000 年同期抗跌。横轴每格两行:上行蓝色 = 2000 剧本的年-月,下行红色 = 当前周期的年-月;红色标签超过今日之后是按天数等距映射出的月份(不是已发生的数据)。鼠标悬停可同时读出两段行情在同一 T 上的位置;可框选缩放。
当前回撤 − 2000年同期回撤(单位:百分点)。曲线向上=正在跑赢 2000 年剧本,向下=正在向历史路径靠拢甚至更弱。这条线的斜率比绝对点位更能说明问题。
| 日期 | SOX收盘 | 日涨跌% | 距峰T | 当前回撤% | 2000同期% | 相对强弱pp | 2000对应日 | 阶段 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 13172.74 | +0.27% | 105 | -9.99% | -8.66% | -1.33 | 2000-06-23 | 崩盘初期 |
| 2026-10-02 | 13136.67 | +2.40% | 102 | -10.24% | -5.10% | -5.13 | 2000-06-20 | 崩盘初期 |
| 2026-10-01 | 12829.00 | +1.59% | 101 | -12.34% | -7.34% | -5.00 | 2000-06-19 | 崩盘初期 |
| 2026-09-30 | 12628.62 | -0.00% | 100 | -13.71% | -13.09% | -0.62 | 2000-06-16 | 崩盘初期 |
| 2026-09-29 | 12629.16 | +1.32% | 99 | -13.70% | -13.09% | -0.62 | 2000-06-16 | 崩盘初期 |
| 2026-09-28 | 12465.24 | -1.61% | 98 | -14.82% | -13.09% | -1.74 | 2000-06-16 | 崩盘初期 |
| 2026-09-25 | 12668.93 | +1.41% | 95 | -13.43% | -12.17% | -1.26 | 2000-06-13 | 崩盘初期 |
| 2026-09-24 | 12492.54 | -0.33% | 94 | -14.64% | -16.39% | +1.76 | 2000-06-12 | 崩盘初期 |
| 2026-09-23 | 12534.28 | -1.23% | 93 | -14.35% | -12.30% | -2.05 | 2000-06-09 | 崩盘初期 |
| 2026-09-22 | 12689.82 | +2.06% | 92 | -13.29% | -12.30% | -0.99 | 2000-06-09 | 崩盘初期 |
| 2026-09-21 | 12433.17 | +4.29% | 91 | -15.04% | -12.30% | -2.75 | 2000-06-09 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-09-18 | 11921.69 | +2.78% | 88 | -18.54% | -16.55% | -1.99 | 2000-06-06 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-09-17 | 11599.49 | +3.14% | 87 | -20.74% | -13.49% | -7.25 | 2000-06-05 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-09-16 | 11246.11 | +0.63% | 86 | -23.15% | -13.13% | -10.03 | 2000-06-02 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-09-15 | 11175.55 | +0.40% | 85 | -23.64% | -13.13% | -10.51 | 2000-06-02 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-09-14 | 11131.28 | -5.86% | 84 | -23.94% | -13.13% | -10.81 | 2000-06-02 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-09-11 | 11824.00 | +1.81% | 81 | -19.21% | -24.19% | +4.99 | 2000-05-30 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-09-10 | 11614.17 | -2.66% | 80 | -20.64% | -31.74% | +11.10 | 2000-05-26 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-09-09 | 11931.32 | +0.37% | 79 | -18.47% | -31.74% | +13.27 | 2000-05-26 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-09-08 | 11887.87 | +1.30% | 78 | -18.77% | -31.74% | +12.98 | 2000-05-26 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-09-04 | 11735.26 | +3.37% | 74 | -19.81% | -34.74% | +14.93 | 2000-05-23 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-09-03 | 11352.13 | +0.11% | 73 | -22.43% | -29.27% | +6.84 | 2000-05-22 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-09-02 | 11339.25 | +0.45% | 72 | -22.52% | -28.70% | +6.18 | 2000-05-19 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-09-01 | 11288.61 | -2.14% | 71 | -22.86% | -28.70% | +5.84 | 2000-05-19 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-08-31 | 11535.05 | +0.57% | 70 | -21.18% | -28.70% | +7.52 | 2000-05-19 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-08-28 | 11469.66 | -3.47% | 67 | -21.63% | -21.46% | -0.16 | 2000-05-16 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-08-27 | 11882.17 | +2.33% | 66 | -18.81% | -24.28% | +5.47 | 2000-05-15 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-08-26 | 11611.24 | +0.20% | 65 | -20.66% | -26.31% | +5.65 | 2000-05-12 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-08-25 | 11588.04 | +1.44% | 64 | -20.82% | -26.31% | +5.49 | 2000-05-12 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-08-24 | 11423.17 | -2.70% | 63 | -21.94% | -26.31% | +4.36 | 2000-05-12 | 主跌段 |