把 2000-03-10 泡沫顶 与 2026-06-22 高点 对齐到同一原点 t=0,归一化到峰值=100,逐日追踪当前走势相对 2000 年剧本的偏离。
两条曲线各自的峰值都被拉到 t=0、纵轴 100%。红线在蓝线之上=当前比 2000 年同期抗跌。横轴每格两行:上行蓝色 = 2000 剧本的年-月,下行红色 = 当前周期的年-月;红色标签超过今日之后是按天数等距映射出的月份(不是已发生的数据)。鼠标悬停可同时读出两段行情在同一 T 上的位置;可框选缩放。
当前回撤 − 2000年同期回撤(单位:百分点)。曲线向上=正在跑赢 2000 年剧本,向下=正在向历史路径靠拢甚至更弱。这条线的斜率比绝对点位更能说明问题。
| 日期 | SOX收盘 | 日涨跌% | 距峰T | 当前回撤% | 2000同期% | 相对强弱pp | 2000对应日 | 阶段 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | 11764.81 | -1.90% | 58 | -19.61% | -17.08% | -2.53 | 2000-05-05 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-08-18 | 11992.46 | -4.98% | 57 | -18.05% | -17.08% | -0.98 | 2000-05-05 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-08-17 | 12621.00 | +1.64% | 56 | -13.76% | -17.08% | +3.32 | 2000-05-05 | 崩盘初期 |
| 2026-08-14 | 12417.05 | -0.31% | 53 | -15.15% | -16.81% | +1.65 | 2000-05-02 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-08-13 | 12456.00 | +0.46% | 52 | -14.89% | -12.66% | -2.23 | 2000-05-01 | 崩盘初期 |
| 2026-08-12 | 12399.38 | +2.49% | 51 | -15.27% | -12.09% | -3.19 | 2000-04-28 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-08-11 | 12098.47 | +0.87% | 50 | -17.33% | -12.09% | -5.24 | 2000-04-28 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-08-10 | 11993.86 | -2.94% | 49 | -18.05% | -12.09% | -5.96 | 2000-04-28 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-08-07 | 12356.79 | +2.56% | 46 | -15.57% | -18.78% | +3.21 | 2000-04-25 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-08-06 | 12048.69 | +0.33% | 45 | -17.67% | -25.44% | +7.77 | 2000-04-24 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-08-05 | 12008.88 | -1.40% | 44 | -17.94% | -23.14% | +5.20 | 2000-04-20 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-08-04 | 12179.26 | +6.55% | 43 | -16.78% | -23.14% | +6.37 | 2000-04-20 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-08-03 | 11430.35 | +1.05% | 42 | -21.90% | -23.14% | +1.25 | 2000-04-20 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-07-31 | 11311.08 | +0.07% | 39 | -22.71% | -21.02% | -1.69 | 2000-04-18 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-07-30 | 11302.99 | +8.19% | 38 | -22.77% | -24.22% | +1.46 | 2000-04-17 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-07-29 | 10447.49 | -5.33% | 37 | -28.61% | -33.06% | +4.45 | 2000-04-14 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-07-28 | 11035.68 | -4.49% | 36 | -24.59% | -33.06% | +8.47 | 2000-04-14 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-07-27 | 11554.88 | -2.23% | 35 | -21.04% | -33.06% | +12.01 | 2000-04-14 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-07-24 | 11818.88 | -4.25% | 32 | -19.24% | -15.07% | -4.17 | 2000-04-11 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-07-23 | 12343.84 | -0.54% | 31 | -15.65% | -12.38% | -3.28 | 2000-04-10 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-07-22 | 12410.67 | +0.44% | 30 | -15.20% | -8.21% | -6.98 | 2000-04-07 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-07-21 | 12356.16 | +5.21% | 29 | -15.57% | -8.21% | -7.36 | 2000-04-07 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-07-20 | 11743.85 | +0.60% | 28 | -19.75% | -8.21% | -11.54 | 2000-04-07 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-07-17 | 11673.89 | -1.63% | 25 | -20.23% | -19.80% | -0.43 | 2000-04-04 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-07-16 | 11867.50 | -4.29% | 24 | -18.91% | -17.85% | -1.06 | 2000-04-03 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-07-15 | 12398.89 | -2.08% | 23 | -15.28% | -11.32% | -3.96 | 2000-03-31 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-07-14 | 12661.93 | +2.54% | 22 | -13.48% | -11.32% | -2.16 | 2000-03-31 | 崩盘初期 |
| 2026-07-13 | 12347.78 | -4.78% | 21 | -15.63% | -11.32% | -4.31 | 2000-03-31 | 主跌段 |
| 2026-07-10 | 12967.16 | +0.06% | 18 | -11.39% | -5.37% | -6.03 | 2000-03-28 | 崩盘初期 |
| 2026-07-09 | 12960.00 | +3.06% | 17 | -11.44% | -2.05% | -9.40 | 2000-03-27 | 崩盘初期 |